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2024-12-14 00:47:17 <area date-time="oPpZ"> <noframes dir="BqCU">

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures continued their pre-market gains after the data was released.The further rebound of CPI in the United States is in line with market expectations. The annual rate of CPI in the United States in November was 2.7%, which was expected to be 2.7% and the previous value was 2.60%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly CPI rate is 0.3%, expected 0.3%, and the previous value is 0.20%. The annual rate of core CPI in the United States in November was not seasonally adjusted to 3.3%, which was expected to be 3.3% and the previous value was 3.30%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly rate of core CPI is 0.3%, the expected rate is 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.30%.CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.


Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Egyptian Prime Minister: At least 10 state-owned enterprises will be listed in 2025.


After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Colombia's consumer confidence index in November was -5.7, and the forecast was -4.8.US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.

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